Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.073141 0.084963 0.097905 0.113102 0.130432 0.149551 0.172217
2025-01-12 0.052531 0.067437 0.085257 0.108033 0.136262 0.169983 0.213191
2025-01-19 0.039917 0.056023 0.076836 0.105479 0.143612 0.192337 0.258965
2025-01-26 0.033717 0.051169 0.075301 0.110688 0.160746 0.228421 0.326090
2025-02-02 0.028952 0.047162 0.073920 0.115437 0.177388 0.265359 0.398369
2025-02-09 0.023262 0.040582 0.067565 0.111745 0.181072 0.284139 0.446840
2025-02-16 0.019437 0.036123 0.063547 0.110694 0.188100 0.307981 0.504588
2025-02-23 0.016067 0.031736 0.058844 0.107660 0.191294 0.325866 0.554526
2025-03-02 0.013484 0.028223 0.054990 0.105330 0.195061 0.344626 0.607158
2025-03-09 0.011846 0.026151 0.053305 0.106423 0.204540 0.373322 0.678272
2025-03-16 0.009966 0.023233 0.049578 0.103207 0.205877 0.388136 0.727019
2025-03-23 0.009207 0.022490 0.049900 0.107610 0.221467 0.428972 0.824115
2025-03-30 0.008170 0.020989 0.048549 0.108695 0.231197 0.460725 0.908874
2025-04-06 0.006955 0.018841 0.045524 0.105974 0.233223 0.478541 0.969964
2025-04-13 0.006025 0.017180 0.043282 0.104561 0.237647 0.501206 1.042022
2025-04-20 0.005703 0.016978 0.044285 0.110315 0.257459 0.555345 1.178725
2025-04-27 0.005360 0.016651 0.044943 0.115363 0.276277 0.609084 1.318908
2025-05-04 0.004580 0.014965 0.042057 0.111828 0.276012 0.624151 1.383240
2025-05-11 0.004037 0.013831 0.040357 0.110854 0.281289 0.651020 1.473568
2025-05-18 0.003478 0.012519 0.037974 0.107855 0.281542 0.667189 1.542861
2025-05-25 0.003024 0.011423 0.035979 0.105541 0.283093 0.686191 1.619497
2025-06-01 0.002751 0.010850 0.035336 0.106645 0.292960 0.724269 1.740005
2025-06-08 0.002371 0.009817 0.033196 0.103428 0.291776 0.737325 1.806529